{"id":427217,"date":"2024-05-30T00:01:00","date_gmt":"2024-05-30T07:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/?p=427217"},"modified":"2024-05-30T09:02:08","modified_gmt":"2024-05-30T16:02:08","slug":"posibles-medidas-electorales-eleccion-de-california","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_es\/commentary\/2024\/05\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Las medidas electorales generar\u00e1n la mayor parte de la intriga en las elecciones de noviembre en California"},"content":{"rendered":"

Siendo la pol\u00edtica de California lo que es (dominaci\u00f3n profundamente azul por parte de los dem\u00f3cratas), significa que muchas de las elecciones de noviembre ya est\u00e1n decididas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El resultado de la batalla de repetici\u00f3n entre el presidente dem\u00f3crata Joe Biden y su predecesor republicano, Donald Trump, suponiendo que ambos sean nominados, es muy dudoso a nivel nacional. Sin embargo, Biden puede Cuente con ganar los 54 votos electorales de California.<\/a>, probablemente por un deslizamiento de tierra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reps. Adam Schiff<\/a> ser\u00e1 elegido para el Senado de los EE.UU. sobre el simb\u00f3lico rival republicano Steve Garvey<\/a>. Los dem\u00f3cratas seguir\u00e1n disfrutando del control de una supermayor\u00eda en la Legislatura estatal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si bien los dem\u00f3cratas obtendr\u00e1n la gran mayor\u00eda de los 52 esca\u00f1os del Congreso de California, hay alrededor de media docena en juego<\/a>, suficiente para determinar potencialmente qu\u00e9 partido controla la C\u00e1mara de Representantes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La verdadera acci\u00f3n este oto\u00f1o ser\u00e1 el destino de hasta 15 medidas electorales en todo el estado: cuatro presentadas en la boleta por la mayor\u00eda dem\u00f3crata de la Legislatura, un refer\u00e9ndum buscando revocar una nueva ley<\/a> regular la colocaci\u00f3n de pozos petroleros y potencialmente 10 iniciativas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En su conjunto, las medidas electorales representan choques ideol\u00f3gicos y culturales fundamentales, en particular aquellos patrocinados por empresas y destinados a mitigar las pol\u00edticas de tendencia izquierdista de los dem\u00f3cratas dominantes y sus aliados. Si se aprueban, tendr\u00edan impactos financieros masivos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La magnitud de los conflictos es m\u00e1s evidente en una iniciativa, patrocinada por la Business Roundtable y grupos anti-impuestos, que har\u00eda Los aumentos de impuestos estatales y locales son notablemente m\u00e1s dif\u00edciles.<\/a> para promulgar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Afecta a los dem\u00f3cratas y a sus sindicatos de empleados p\u00fablicos aliados donde viven y han organizado un esfuerzo doble para bloquear su aprobaci\u00f3n: una demanda, ahora pendiente en la Corte Suprema del estado<\/a>, para eliminar la medida de la boleta, y una propuesta competitiva<\/a> eso impondr\u00eda un umbral de votaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s alto y potencialmente prohibitivo sobre la medida fiscal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El 27 de junio es la fecha l\u00edmite para finalizar qu\u00e9 medidas aparecer\u00e1n en la boleta electoral, por lo que ambos lados de la batalla fiscal est\u00e1n esperando la decisi\u00f3n del tribunal. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sin embargo, no son los \u00fanicos porque los defensores y enemigos de otras cuatro iniciativas a\u00fan esperan la confirmaci\u00f3n de que tienen suficientes firmas para calificar. El cuarteto incluye Una iniciativa<\/a> eso modificar\u00eda Proposici\u00f3n 47<\/a>, una medida electoral de 2014 que redujo las penas para muchos delitos.<\/p>\n\n\n\t\n\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\tLeer siguiente<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/h2>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"Una\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\n\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\tPol\u00edtica<\/a>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

Una posible medida electoral dura contra el crimen promete menos personas sin hogar. Los expertos no est\u00e1n convencidos<\/a><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tby<\/span> Marisa Kendall<\/a><\/span> and Yue Stella Yu<\/a><\/span>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/article>\n\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\n\t<\/div>\n\t\n\n\n

La Proposici\u00f3n 47 simboliza los denodados esfuerzos de la \u00faltima d\u00e9cada \u2013tanto a trav\u00e9s de medidas electorales como de legislaci\u00f3n\u2013 para deshacer las leyes de sentencias duras contra el delito que se promulgaron en los a\u00f1os 1980 y 1990, la m\u00e1s famosa la Ley de los tres strikes<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Las leyes elevaron la poblaci\u00f3n carcelaria de California a m\u00e1s de 160.000 personas, ocho veces m\u00e1s que en 1980, lo que dio lugar a decretos de los tribunales federales para reducir el hacinamiento. Desde entonces, el n\u00famero de delincuentes tras las rejas ha bajado casi a la mitad<\/a>, pero los aumentos en la delincuencia en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os han provocado una reacci\u00f3n violenta, resumida en la medida pendiente de votaci\u00f3n, que probablemente calificar\u00e1 para la votaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El gobernador Gavin Newsom y los l\u00edderes legislativos est\u00e1n tratando de persuadir a sus patrocinadores para que abandonen la medida mediante la elaboraci\u00f3n de un conjunto limitado de cambios en las sentencias que dejar\u00edan intacta la Proposici\u00f3n 47. A medida que se acerca la fecha l\u00edmite del 27 de junio, es incierto si ese esfuerzo tendr\u00e1 \u00e9xito.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Otras medidas de alto perfil calificadas o que probablemente lo sean incluyen una iniciativa patrocinada por empresas que derogar la Ley General de Fiscales Privados<\/a>, una ley de dos d\u00e9cadas patrocinada por sindicatos que hace que las demandas colectivas contra los empleadores sean relativamente f\u00e1ciles de presentar. Otros incluyen un tercer esfuerzo<\/a> para hacerlo Es m\u00e1s f\u00e1cil para los gobiernos locales implementar controles de alquileres.<\/a>, un aumento en los impuestos sobre la renta de los californianos de altos ingresos para financiar la prevenci\u00f3n de la pandemia<\/a>, y un aumento del salario m\u00ednimo del estado<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dados los inmensos riesgos financieros que implican estas medidas electorales, los votantes estar\u00e1n sujetos a cientos de millones de d\u00f3lares en anuncios de radio, televisi\u00f3n e Internet. De hecho, el bombardeo propagand\u00edstico ya est\u00e1 en marcha.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Much of California’s November ballot is already decided given the state’s political leanings, so the real action will come from as many as 15 ballot measures. Some could have massive financial impacts.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":73,"featured_media":412886,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","apple_news_api_created_at":"2024-05-30T07:01:35Z","apple_news_api_id":"890c9f09-03fb-46fa-ac5d-d32f7c74ef98","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2024-05-30T16:02:06Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/AiQyfCQP7RvqsXdMvfHTvmA","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_spanish_translation_id":0,"_is_translation":false,"_newspack_byline_active":false,"_newspack_byline":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"newspack_content_restriction_is_exempt":false,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[58,63],"tags":[663,40117,1132,65027,3732],"legislator":[],"bill":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"coauthors":[4174],"class_list":["post-427217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-dan-walters","tag-california-elections","tag-commentary","tag-criminal-justice","tag-election-2024","tag-california-taxes","entry"],"acf":[],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nBallot measures shaping up for CA's November election | Opinion<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Much of California's election results are already decided given the state's political leanings. The action will come from ballot measures.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_es\/comentario\/2024\/05\/posibles-medidas-electorales-eleccion-de-california\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ballot measures will provide most of the intrigue in California's November election\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Much of California's election results are already decided given the state's political leanings. The action will come from ballot measures.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_es\/comentario\/2024\/05\/posibles-medidas-electorales-eleccion-de-california\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"CalMatters\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/calmatters\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-30T07:01:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-30T16:02:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/calmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/030524_OC-Election_LJ_CM_08.jpg?fit=2000%2C1333&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1333\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dan Walters\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@DanCALmatters\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@CalMatters\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dan Walters\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutos\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label3\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data3\" content=\"Dan Walters\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dan Walters\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/f900126cd171134825959a6903ab3654\"},\"headline\":\"Ballot measures will provide most of the intrigue in California’s November election\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-30T07:01:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-05-30T16:02:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":615,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/calmatters.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/03\\\/030524_OC-Election_LJ_CM_08.jpg?fit=2000%2C1333&ssl=1\",\"keywords\":[\"California Elections\",\"Commentary\",\"criminal justice\",\"election 2024\",\"Taxes\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Commentary\",\"Dan Walters\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2024\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/_es\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/\",\"name\":\"Ballot measures shaping up for CA's November election | Opinion\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/calmatters.org\\\/commentary\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/potential-ballot-measures-california-election\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/calmatters.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/03\\\/030524_OC-Election_LJ_CM_08.jpg?fit=2000%2C1333&ssl=1\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-30T07:01:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-05-30T16:02:08+00:00\",\"description\":\"Much of California's election results are already decided given the state's political leanings. 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He began covering California politics in 1975, just as Jerry Brown began his first stint as governor, and began writing his column in 1981, first for the Sacramento Union for three years, then for The Sacramento Bee for 33 years and now for CalMatters since 2017. Dan is also the author or co-author of two books about California, \u201cThe New California: Facing the 21st Century\u201d and \u201cThe Third House: Lobbyists, Money and Power in Sacramento.\u201d He is a frequent radio show guest and occasionally appears on national television, commenting on California issues. Walters began his career in 1960 at the Humboldt Times in Eureka, California, a month before his 17th birthday, first as a newsroom aide and later as a police beat reporter. Having found his calling, he not only turned down a National Merit college scholarship but dropped out of high school, lacking one required class \u2013 ironically civics \u2013 to qualify for a diploma. 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Comenz\u00f3 a cubrir la pol\u00edtica de California en 1975, justo cuando Jerry Brown comenz\u00f3 su primer per\u00edodo como gobernador, y comenz\u00f3 a escribir su columna en 1981, primero para Sacramento Union durante tres a\u00f1os, luego para The Sacramento Bee durante 33 a\u00f1os y ahora para CalMatters desde 2017. Dan tambi\u00e9n es autor o coautor de dos libros sobre California, \u201cThe New California: Facing the 21st Century\u201d y \u201cThe Third House: Lobbyists, Money and Power in Sacramento\u201d. Es un invitado frecuente en programas de radio y ocasionalmente aparece en la televisi\u00f3n nacional, comentando temas de California. Walters comenz\u00f3 su carrera en 1960 en el Humboldt Times en Eureka, California, un mes antes de cumplir 17 a\u00f1os, primero como asistente de redacci\u00f3n y luego como reportero de la polic\u00eda. 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