{"id":64403,"date":"2018-12-13T12:48:10","date_gmt":"2018-12-13T20:48:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/?post_type=commentary&p=64403"},"modified":"2019-07-06T00:04:09","modified_gmt":"2019-07-06T00:04:09","slug":"a-mi-me-toca-que-un-tercero-pueda-surgir-en-california-aqui-hay-un-camino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_es\/politics\/2018\/12\/my-turn-a-third-party-can-emerge-in-california-heres-a-path\/","title":{"rendered":"Mi turno: puede surgir un tercero en California. Aqu\u00ed hay un camino"},"content":{"rendered":"

Por Dan Schnur<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dan Schnur es profesor de la Escuela de Comunicaciones Annenberg de la USC y del Instituto de Estudios Gubernamentales de UC-Berkeley, dan.schnur@mindspring.com. Escribi\u00f3 este comentario para CALmatters.<\/em><\/p>\n

Cuando me postul\u00e9 para Secretario de Estado hace cuatro a\u00f1os como el primer candidato sin preferencia de partido de California para un cargo estatal, hubo algunos momentos fugaces en los que pens\u00e9 que podr\u00eda estar haciendo historia.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, en general entend\u00ed que el mejor resultado posible para mi candidatura era facilitar las cosas para la segunda candidato sin preferencia de partido<\/a> para un cargo estatal en la historia de California.<\/p>\n

El ex comisionado de Seguros Steve Poizner, expatriado republicano como yo, decidi\u00f3 postularse este a\u00f1o para su anterior puesto como miembro del PNP y empez\u00f3 con ciertas ventajas.<\/p>\n

Poizner se benefici\u00f3 de la credibilidad que le brind\u00f3 haber ocupado previamente el puesto, as\u00ed como de una base de apoyo pol\u00edtico a nivel estatal y una red de donantes de sus campa\u00f1as anteriores.<\/p>\n

Si bien termin\u00e9 cuarto en unas primarias detr\u00e1s de los candidatos preferidos de los dos principales partidos pol\u00edticos y de un acusado traficante de armas<\/a>, Poizner se clasific\u00f3 para las elecciones generales y perdi\u00f3 por s\u00f3lo unos pocos puntos porcentuales frente al candidato preferido del Partido Dem\u00f3crata en un ciclo hist\u00f3rico de campa\u00f1a de ola azul.<\/p>\n

A pesar de la disparidad en la naturaleza y el alcance de nuestras respectivas derrotas, hay lecciones que aprender de nuestras experiencias que pueden sentar las bases para un candidato centrista exitoso.<\/p>\n

Poizner recibi\u00f3 700.000 votos m\u00e1s que el candidato republicano a gobernador. M\u00e1s de cinco millones de californianos votaron por \u00e9l, la mayor cantidad de votos emitidos para un independiente para cualquier cargo estatal en la historia de Estados Unidos.<\/p>\n

Cada uno de los 24 peri\u00f3dicos que respaldaron la carrera por el Comisionado de Seguros respaldaron a Poizner. S\u00f3lo una ola dem\u00f3crata hist\u00f3ricamente profunda y azul que barri\u00f3 todos los cargos estatales y todas las campa\u00f1as competitivas del Congreso de California le impidi\u00f3 la victoria.<\/p>\n

Los datos debajo El casi error de Poizner<\/a> se\u00f1ala la hoja de ruta que otros candidatos independientes pueden seguir para ganar en un campo de juego m\u00e1s igualado. Gan\u00f3 los condados de Orange y Ventura, \u00e1reas tradicionalmente indecisas como el condado de Sacramento y la mayor parte del Valle Central, y bastiones republicanos en el este y el norte de California.<\/p>\n

\"El
El candidato a comisionado de seguros, Steve Poizner, hablando ante CPAC en 2010. Foto de Flickr de Gage Skidmore, v\u00eda Creative Commons.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Su derrota fue el resultado de p\u00e9rdidas a gran escala en los condados del \u00c1rea de la Bah\u00eda y en las zonas costeras donde los dem\u00f3cratas acumularon m\u00e1rgenes considerables.<\/p>\n

Pero esas regiones tambi\u00e9n representan las \u00e1reas geogr\u00e1ficas donde los votantes sin preferencia de partido constituyen porciones especialmente grandes del electorado. No es sorprendente que esos votantes estuvieran fuertemente motivados para manifestarse contra Trump y sus aliados, y casi con certeza votaron directamente por los dem\u00f3cratas como una declaraci\u00f3n contra el presidente.<\/p>\n

Esto sugiere que un candidato del PNP podr\u00eda lograr avances significativos con estos votantes en una elecci\u00f3n futura menos marcada por connotaciones nacionales, aunque es poco probable que ese panorama exista hasta que Trump haya abandonado la arena, en 2022 como muy pronto.<\/p>\n

El hecho de que Poizner estuvo tan cerca de la victoria nos dice que los votantes de este estado no est\u00e1n totalmente arraigados en el sistema bipartidista. Pero tampoco est\u00e1n dispuestos a abandonar ese sistema.<\/p>\n

Los candidatos del PNP deben reconocer que el centro pol\u00edtico no tiene el monopolio de las ideas inteligentes y que los progresistas comprometidos y los conservadores igualmente apasionados est\u00e1n tan interesados como nosotros en el futuro del estado.<\/p>\n

Un nuevo movimiento deber\u00eda buscar aliados entre el grupo dem\u00f3crata moderado de la Legislatura y los republicanos del New Way para facilitar una conversaci\u00f3n transpartidista productiva y proporcionar un terreno com\u00fan sobre el cual pueda florecer un di\u00e1logo respetuoso e inclusivo.<\/p>\n

Si bien los centristas creemos que un enfoque equilibrado es el mejor camino a seguir para California, ser\u00edamos tontos si ignoramos las ideas de otros que tienen perspectivas ideol\u00f3gicas diferentes. Aquellos que no est\u00e1n de acuerdo con nosotros no son ni est\u00fapidos ni malvados, sino m\u00e1s bien ciudadanos bien intencionados que simplemente tienen una idea diferente sobre c\u00f3mo un Estado puede enfrentar mejor nuestros desaf\u00edos pol\u00edticos.<\/p>\n

En California y en todo Estados Unidos, muchas personas talentosas optan por no postularse para cargos p\u00fablicos porque no quieren tener parte en la amargura de la pol\u00edtica partidista.<\/p>\n

La decisi\u00f3n de Poizner de postularse como independiente, y su considerable \u00e9xito incluso despu\u00e9s de una derrota, deber\u00eda ser una lecci\u00f3n para otros y allanar el camino para aquellos que est\u00e9n dispuestos a postularse y servir como solucionadores de problemas no partidistas.<\/p>\n

Se ha dicho que no existe un moderado furioso. Pero en 2022, un candidato que se postule para representar al centro radical puede aprender de la hoja de ruta que siguieron los dos primeros candidatos del PNP del estado y tener \u00e9xito en lo que nos quedamos cortos.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Un nuevo movimiento de terceros partidos centristas deber\u00eda buscar aliados entre el grupo dem\u00f3crata moderado de la Legislatura y los republicanos New Way para facilitar una conversaci\u00f3n transpartidista productiva. Los pol\u00edticos centristas creen que un enfoque equilibrado es el mejor camino a seguir para California, pero ser\u00eda una tonter\u00eda ignorar las ideas de otros que tienen perspectivas ideol\u00f3gicas diferentes.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":69,"featured_media":64412,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"middle","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":["https:\/\/news-api.apple.com\/sections\/49654979-841c-3b60-b9c1-b123dc98bd2d"],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_spanish_translation_id":0,"_is_translation":false,"_newspack_byline_active":false,"_newspack_byline":"","newspack_content_restriction_is_exempt":false,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[58,65014,13],"tags":[40117,1393,64998],"legislator":[],"bill":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"coauthors":[4186],"class_list":["post-64403","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-elections","category-politics","tag-commentary","tag-election-2018","tag-my-turn","entry"],"acf":[],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nMy turn: A third party can emerge in California. Here\u2019s a path - CalMatters<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_es\/politica\/2018\/12\/a-mi-me-toca-que-un-tercero-pueda-surgir-en-california-aqui-hay-un-camino\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"My turn: A third party can emerge in California. Here\u2019s a path\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A new centrist third party movement should look for allies among the Legislature\u2019s moderate Democratic caucus and New Way Republicans to facilitate productive trans-partisan conversation. 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