{"id":111170,"date":"2020-04-23T00:01:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-23T07:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/?post_type=commentary&#038;p=111170"},"modified":"2020-04-21T15:56:43","modified_gmt":"2020-04-21T22:56:43","slug":"covid-19-california-new-york-death-rate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/commentary\/2020\/04\/covid-19-california-new-york-death-rate\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19&#8217;s very unequal toll"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The COVID-19 pandemic is a horrible human tragedy whose global toll is continuing to rise, but it\u2019s also an exercise in collecting and examining data for clues to how it is spreading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The numbers change minute-by-minute but suggest that in America your chances of being infected may depend on where you stand on the economic ladder, how closely you live and work in the company of others, and how diligently you and your neighbors take precautions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take, for example, the startling contrast between what\u2019s been happening in New York and its neighboring states versus what\u2019s been happening, or not happening, in California.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of Tuesday, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2020\/us\/coronavirus-us-cases.html#states\">according to the New York Times<\/a>, the nation had counted 37,818 COVID-19 deaths, but New York alone had 14,347 or 38% of the national total, and adding New Jersey (4,377), Pennsylvania (1,366) and Connecticut (1,331) brought the region\u2019s share to nearly 57%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Three-thousand miles away in California, with twice the population of New York, COVID-19 had claimed just 1,225 lives \u2014 tragic for those Californians\u2019 families, of course, but a blessing for the state as a whole. In fact, at just 3 deaths per 100,000 of population, California has had one of the nation\u2019s lowest mortality rates to date while New York\u2019s 74 per 100,000 is 25 times as high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why the huge difference?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Someday we\u2019ll have a complete scientific answer, but clearly the high densities of living, working and traveling (often on crowded subway trains and buses) in New York City and environs have contributed to the heavy human toll, as did New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio&#8217;s footdragging on imposing precautions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most Californians, meanwhile, live in low-density neighborhoods, either in single-family homes or small rental complexes. Californians are often mocked for preferring cars to mass transit, but it\u2019s probably saved thousands of lives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>California also instituted some of the nation\u2019s earliest shelter-at-home measures to limit person-to-person contact and Californians, most of us anyway, have been diligent about adhering to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Within the state, too, one finds very disparate conditions. California\u2019s hot spot is Los Angeles County, which has a quarter of the state\u2019s population but has accounted for more than half of its COVID-19 deaths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While California\u2019s death rate is 3 per 100,000 Los Angeles County\u2019s is twice as high at 6, by far the state\u2019s highest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why Los Angeles County?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most Angelenos, unlike New Yorkers, live in low-rise homes and apartments. However, past studies have told us that because of poverty and a chronic lack of affordable housing, two or even three families may live in one housing unit and that auxiliary units, such as illegally converted garages, are common in poor neighborhoods. It\u2019s difficult to practice social distancing in such crowded circumstances, making infection more likely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, Los Angeles County has the state\u2019s highest rate of poverty, according to the Public Policy Institute of California, with at least 40% of its population rated as poor or near-poor. The pandemic-induced recession has hit Los Angeles County particularly hard, with an estimated 50% of its jobs at least temporarily erased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Monday, Los Angeles County health officials released <a href=\"http:\/\/publichealth.lacounty.gov\/phcommon\/public\/media\/mediapubhpdetail.cfm?prid=2327\">preliminary results of a study <\/a>suggesting that roughly 4.1% of the county\u2019s adult population has already had the coronavirus, which translates to between 221,000 and 442,000 people, many times the number of confirmed cases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That study indicates that the pandemic potentially has a long way to run and that Los Angeles will continue to be its California epicenter. The data also imply that we shouldn\u2019t be eagerly pushing Californians to live in high-density housing, give up their cars and ride transit.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>COVID-19&#8217;s disparate effects are shown in the data of its death toll. New York&#8217;s death rate is 25 times as high as California&#8217;s.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":73,"featured_media":97061,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"single-feature.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","newspack_ads_suppress_ads":false,"newspack_popups_has_disabled_popups":false,"newspack_sponsor_sponsorship_scope":"","newspack_sponsor_native_byline_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_native_category_display":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_style":"inherit","newspack_sponsor_underwriter_placement":"inherit","apple_news_api_created_at":"","apple_news_api_id":"","apple_news_api_modified_at":"","apple_news_api_revision":"","apple_news_api_share_url":"","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"_spanish_translation_id":0,"_is_translation":false,"_newspack_byline_active":false,"_newspack_byline":"","newspack_content_restriction_is_exempt":false,"newspack_featured_image_position":"","newspack_post_subtitle":"","newspack_article_summary_title":"Overview:","newspack_article_summary":"","newspack_hide_updated_date":false,"newspack_show_updated_date":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[58,28393,63,9],"tags":[40117],"legislator":[],"bill":[],"newspack_spnsrs_tax":[],"coauthors":[4174],"class_list":["post-111170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-coronavirus","category-dan-walters","category-health","tag-commentary","entry"],"acf":[],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>COVID-19&#039;s very unequal toll - CalMatters<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"COVID-19&#039;s disparate effects are shown in the data of its death toll. 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He began covering California politics in 1975, just as Jerry Brown began his first stint as governor, and began writing his column in 1981, first for the Sacramento Union for three years, then for The Sacramento Bee for 33 years and now for CalMatters since 2017. Dan is also the author or co-author of two books about California, \u201cThe New California: Facing the 21st Century\u201d and \u201cThe Third House: Lobbyists, Money and Power in Sacramento.\u201d He is a frequent radio show guest and occasionally appears on national television, commenting on California issues. Walters began his career in 1960 at the Humboldt Times in Eureka, California, a month before his 17th birthday, first as a newsroom aide and later as a police beat reporter. Having found his calling, he not only turned down a National Merit college scholarship but dropped out of high school, lacking one required class \u2013 ironically civics \u2013 to qualify for a diploma. Before moving to Sacramento to cover politics, he was the managing editor of three small daily newspapers. He has two adult daughters and three grandsons.","sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/DanCALmatters"],"birthDate":"1943-10-10","gender":"Male","jobTitle":"Columnist","worksFor":"CalMatters.org","url":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/author\/dan-walters\/"}]}},"parsely":{"version":"1.1.0","canonical_url":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/commentary\/2020\/04\/covid-19-california-new-york-death-rate\/","smart_links":{"inbound":0,"outbound":0},"traffic_boost_suggestions_count":0,"meta":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","headline":"COVID-19&#8217;s very unequal toll","url":"http:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/commentary\/2020\/04\/covid-19-california-new-york-death-rate\/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/commentary\/2020\/04\/covid-19-california-new-york-death-rate\/"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/calmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/081219_Capitol_AW_sized_02.jpg?resize=60%2C60&ssl=1","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/calmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/081219_Capitol_AW_sized_02.jpg?fit=2000%2C1277&ssl=1"},"articleSection":"Coronavirus","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"\ub304 \uc6d4\ud130\uc2a4"}],"creator":["Dan Walters"],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"\uce7c\ub9e4\ud130\uc2a4","logo":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/calmatters-logo_2x.png"},"keywords":["commentary"],"dateCreated":"2020-04-23T07:01:00Z","datePublished":"2020-04-23T07:01:00Z","dateModified":"2020-04-23T07:01:00Z"},"rendered":"<meta name=\"parsely-title\" content=\"COVID-19&#8217;s very unequal toll\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-link\" content=\"http:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/commentary\/2020\/04\/covid-19-california-new-york-death-rate\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-type\" content=\"post\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-image-url\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/calmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/081219_Capitol_AW_sized_02.jpg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-pub-date\" content=\"2020-04-23T07:01:00Z\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-section\" content=\"Coronavirus\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-tags\" content=\"commentary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"parsely-author\" content=\"Dan Walters\" \/>","tracker_url":"https:\/\/cdn.parsely.com\/keys\/calmatters.org\/p.js"},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/calmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/081219_Capitol_AW_sized_02.jpg?fit=2000%2C1277&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111170","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/73"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=111170"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111170\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":111229,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/111170\/revisions\/111229"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/97061"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=111170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=111170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=111170"},{"taxonomy":"legislator","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/legislator?post=111170"},{"taxonomy":"bill","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bill?post=111170"},{"taxonomy":"newspack_spnsrs_tax","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newspack_spnsrs_tax?post=111170"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calmatters.org\/_ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=111170"}],"curies":[{"name":"\uc6cc\ub4dc\ud504\ub808\uc2a4","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}