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Tag: University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

State and federal planners are relying on conflicting coronavirus pandemic models — but an infectious disease model is no oracle. Image via iStock

Predicting a pandemic’s path: What models can and can’t do

Barbara Feder Ostrov by Barbara Feder Ostrov April 20, 2020April 20, 2020

California and the US are using conflicting coronavirus models to guide pandemic planning. Why their predictions differ — and why that’s not necessarily a bad thing.

A man wearing disposable gloves and a bandana over his face walks past a boarded up shop on Haight Street in San Francisco on April 7, 2020. California is entering the fourth week of sheltering in place to limit the spread of the novel coronavirus, and the number of Californians hospitalized and those in ICUs with COVID-19 is starting to edge up only slightly. Photo by Anne Wernikoff for CalMatters

Wary optimism: Small uptick of COVID-19 Californians in hospital and intensive care

Avatar by Elizabeth Aguilera April 10, 2020April 11, 2020
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