Does increasing the minimum wage affect unemployment?

Brandon Alba orders food at a self-service kiosk at a McDonald's restaurant in Chicago. on June 1, 2017. Photo by Charles Rex Arbogast, AP Photo
Brandon Alba orders food at a self-service kiosk at a McDonald’s restaurant in Chicago. on June 1, 2017. Photo by Charles Rex Arbogast, AP Photo

Economists have found that minimum wage increases can cause employers to offer fewer jobs, but there’s ongoing debate about the severity of potential job losses.

In California, some fast-food franchises say they are lowering labor costs by accelerating a shift to automated service. They are installing self-service kiosks, experimenting with robots in the kitchen and outsourcing food delivery to apps like DoorDash and Uber Eats.

A 2023 report from the Congressional Budget Office projected that increasing the federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $17 would reduce employment by about 700,000 jobs. That’s .4% of the overall workforce.

The minimum wage doubled in two states — California and New York — since 2014. A recent study found the higher minimum wage in those states actually increased employment in the fast-food sector.

“We find that these large minimum wage increases both raised pay for workers at the bottom of the earnings ladder and increased employment,” wrote the authors, a group of economists from the University of Victoria, UC Berkeley and UC Davis.

Gift this article